SettleRisk Blog Insights on resolution risk, dispute pricing, and settlement delays in prediction markets. https://settlerisk.com/blog en-us Mon, 06 Apr 2026 02:01:51 GMT <![CDATA[Resolution Timing Arbitrage: Exploiting Cross-Platform Settlement Asynchronicity]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/resolution-timing-arbitrage-cross-platform https://settlerisk.com/blog/resolution-timing-arbitrage-cross-platform Mon, 09 Mar 2026 14:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Risk Alert: Nevada Prediction Market Cases Hit State Court—Resolution Uncertainty Spikes]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/nevada-prediction-market-cases-state-court-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/nevada-prediction-market-cases-state-court-resolution-risk Mon, 09 Mar 2026 10:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Kalshi Hit With Class-Action Over Iran Market: Why Resolution Risk Just Spiked]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-class-action-iran-market-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-class-action-iran-market-resolution-risk Sun, 08 Mar 2026 10:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Oracles Under Pressure: A Quantitative Framework for Resolution Risk]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/oracle-resolution-risk-framework https://settlerisk.com/blog/oracle-resolution-risk-framework Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:44:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Risk Alert: Polymarket Shuts Nuclear Markets Amid Iran Conflict—Resolution Criteria Under Scrutiny]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/polymarket-nuclear-markets-iran-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/polymarket-nuclear-markets-iran-resolution-risk Sat, 07 Mar 2026 11:16:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Kalshi's $2.2M Payout Exposes Death Market Resolution Risk]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-death-market-resolution-risk-march-2026 https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-death-market-resolution-risk-march-2026 Fri, 06 Mar 2026 11:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Building Redundant Oracle Feeds: A Practical Guide to Prediction Market Resolution Infrastructure]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/redundant-oracle-feeds-resolution-infrastructure https://settlerisk.com/blog/redundant-oracle-feeds-resolution-infrastructure Thu, 05 Mar 2026 14:44:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Risk Alert: Kalshi Freezes $54M Khamenei Payouts Amid Resolution Crisis]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-khamenei-market-freeze-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-khamenei-market-freeze-resolution-risk Thu, 05 Mar 2026 11:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Iran Strike Bets: The $1.2M Insider Trading Problem Prediction Markets Can't Ignore]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-strike-bets-insider-trading-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-strike-bets-insider-trading-risk Wed, 04 Mar 2026 11:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Quantifying Oracle Governance Risk: A Framework for Prediction Market Resolution Assessment]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/quantifying-oracle-governance-risk-framework https://settlerisk.com/blog/quantifying-oracle-governance-risk-framework Tue, 03 Mar 2026 14:44:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Risk Alert: Iran Strike Bets Expose Critical Insider Information Loopholes]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-strike-bets-insider-risk-alert https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-strike-bets-insider-risk-alert Tue, 03 Mar 2026 11:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Iran Market Resolution Chaos: Why Your 'Yes' Bet Might Not Pay $1]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-market-resolution-chaos-kalshi-polymarket-dispute https://settlerisk.com/blog/iran-market-resolution-chaos-kalshi-polymarket-dispute Mon, 02 Mar 2026 11:20:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[The Resolution Risk Calculator: A Quantitative Framework for Prediction Market Safety]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/resolution-risk-calculator-framework https://settlerisk.com/blog/resolution-risk-calculator-framework Sun, 01 Mar 2026 14:45:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[SCOTUS Strikes Down IEEPA Tariffs: Prediction Markets Face $133B Resolution Gap]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/scotus-ieepa-tariffs-prediction-markets-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/scotus-ieepa-tariffs-prediction-markets-resolution-risk Sun, 01 Mar 2026 11:16:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Risk Alert: US-Iran Strike Resolution & Insider Trading Detection]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/us-iran-strike-insider-trading-risk-alert https://settlerisk.com/blog/us-iran-strike-insider-trading-risk-alert Sun, 01 Mar 2026 00:45:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Kalshi Insider Trading Enforcement Wave: 200+ Investigations and First Public Cases]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-insider-trading-enforcement-200-investigations https://settlerisk.com/blog/kalshi-insider-trading-enforcement-200-investigations Sat, 28 Feb 2026 18:45:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Inside UMA Optimistic Oracle: A Quantitative Guide to Prediction Market Resolution Risk]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/uma-optimistic-oracle-resolution-risk-guide https://settlerisk.com/blog/uma-optimistic-oracle-resolution-risk-guide Sat, 28 Feb 2026 18:45:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Post-Mortem: The $7M Ukrainian Minerals Dispute — and How You Could Have Seen It Coming]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/uma-ukraine-minerals-dispute-post-mortem https://settlerisk.com/blog/uma-ukraine-minerals-dispute-post-mortem Fri, 20 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Navigating Resolution Risk in Prediction Markets: A Guide for Traders]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/navigating-resolution-risk-in-prediction-markets-a-guide-for-traders https://settlerisk.com/blog/navigating-resolution-risk-in-prediction-markets-a-guide-for-traders Wed, 18 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Why Risk Scoring Matters for Market Makers]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/why-risk-scoring-matters-for-market-makers https://settlerisk.com/blog/why-risk-scoring-matters-for-market-makers Sun, 15 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Modeling Settlement Delays in Prediction Markets]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/settlement-delay-modeling-guide https://settlerisk.com/blog/settlement-delay-modeling-guide Sun, 08 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Polymarket vs Kalshi: A Risk Scoring Comparison]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-risk-comparison https://settlerisk.com/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-risk-comparison Sun, 01 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[Dispute Pricing Explained: Why Mid-Price Isn't Fair Price]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/prediction-market-dispute-pricing-explained https://settlerisk.com/blog/prediction-market-dispute-pricing-explained Thu, 22 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team) <![CDATA[What Is Resolution Risk in Prediction Markets?]]> https://settlerisk.com/blog/what-is-resolution-risk https://settlerisk.com/blog/what-is-resolution-risk Thu, 15 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT team@settlerisk.com (SettleRisk Team)