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polymarketHIGH
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $27896117.754201
63
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
24.9%
Delay p50
13h
Risk Drivers
2
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Subjective Outcome Language+22 pts
Ambiguous Definitions+20 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 12.838647100784794h
p90 2d
p99 4d
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