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polymarketHIGH
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $567538.618825
64
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
25.2%
Delay p50
13h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Single Source Url Dependency+16 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+14 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+8 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 13.02420559760373h
p90 2d
p99 4d
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