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polymarketCRITICAL
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $11327137.435181
85
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
37.5%
Delay p50
17h
Risk Drivers
4
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+20 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+19 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+8 pts
Multi Jurisdiction Interpretation+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 La Liga. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 La Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 17.378982585376903h
p90 5d
p99 21d
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