← Back to leaderboard
polymarketHIGH
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $37542144.798551
69
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
26.7%
Delay p50
14h
Risk Drivers
4
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+19 pts
Single Source Url Dependency+13 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+4 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 13.98242254722393h
p90 2d
p99 5d
Similar Markets
Other markets with similar risk profiles.
kalshiHIGH
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
69
P(Dispute): 21.7%Ambiguous Definitions
polymarketHIGH
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
70
P(Dispute): 27.0%Subjective Outcome Language
polymarketHIGH
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
68
P(Dispute): 26.4%Ambiguous Definitions
polymarketHIGH
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
71
P(Dispute): 27.3%Subjective Outcome Language
Embed This Score
Add a risk badge to your README, blog, or documentation.
[](https://settlerisk.com/markets/polymarket/0xf2e51acfbb6d0414dc2ace81b7dc2af7c165e443dcb91f6caa7aab6d6ab4f06d)<a href="https://settlerisk.com/markets/polymarket/0xf2e51acfbb6d0414dc2ace81b7dc2af7c165e443dcb91f6caa7aab6d6ab4f06d"><img src="https://settlerisk.com/api/badge/polymarket/0xf2e51acfbb6d0414dc2ace81b7dc2af7c165e443dcb91f6caa7aab6d6ab4f06d" alt="SettleRisk Risk Score" /></a>Get this data via API
Access risk scores, driver attribution, settlement delays, and dispute pricing programmatically for any prediction market.