← Back to leaderboard
kalshiHIGH
Will the EU meet its climate goals?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $2,459
61
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
19.3%
Delay p50
6h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Single Source Url Dependency+18 pts
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If the EU has reduced greenhouse gas emissions by 55% compared to the 1990 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 6.236845593969409h
p90 15.295530119476405h
p99 1d
Similar Markets
Other markets with similar risk profiles.
polymarketHIGH
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
61
P(Dispute): 24.3%Ambiguous Definitions
polymarketHIGH
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
61
P(Dispute): 24.3%Single Source Url Dependency
kalshiHIGH
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
61
P(Dispute): 19.3%Single Source Url Dependency
kalshiHIGH
Will India meet its climate goals?
61
P(Dispute): 19.3%Single Source Url Dependency
Embed This Score
Add a risk badge to your README, blog, or documentation.
[](https://settlerisk.com/markets/kalshi/EUCLIMATE-2030)<a href="https://settlerisk.com/markets/kalshi/EUCLIMATE-2030"><img src="https://settlerisk.com/api/badge/kalshi/EUCLIMATE-2030" alt="SettleRisk Risk Score" /></a>Get this data via API
Access risk scores, driver attribution, settlement delays, and dispute pricing programmatically for any prediction market.