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kalshiHIGH
Will India meet its climate goals?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $5,744
61
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
19.3%
Delay p50
6h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Single Source Url Dependency+18 pts
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 6.236845593969409h
p90 15.295530119476405h
p99 1d
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