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kalshiHIGH
Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $8,885
53
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
16.9%
Delay p50
6h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+19 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+10 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 5.548767623379011h
p90 13.608055711918505h
p99 1d
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