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kalshiHIGH
Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $528
67
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
21.1%
Delay p50
7h
Risk Drivers
4
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Single Source Url Dependency+14 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+8 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 6.7965439168600135h
p90 16.66816030994824h
p99 1d
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