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51
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
16.3%
Delay p50
5h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+9 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If Brex confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 5.387429537847705h
p90 13.212382689477653h
p99 1d
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