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polymarketCRITICAL
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $19518272.217516
76
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
34.8%
Delay p50
15h
Risk Drivers
4
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Single Source Url Dependency+19 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+14 pts
Non Archived Source+10 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+4 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 15.407503009683275h
p90 2d
p99 5d
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