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polymarketHIGH
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $6033005.232576
60
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
24.0%
Delay p50
12h
Risk Drivers
2
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Subjective Outcome Language+19 pts
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luka Doncic is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 12.294313713729867h
p90 2d
p99 4d
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