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kalshiMEDIUM
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $2,586
46
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
14.8%
Delay p50
5h
Risk Drivers
3
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+18 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Temporal Ambiguity+4 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If Deel confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 5.003316542495345h
p90 12.270366120176146h
p99 1d
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