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kalshiMEDIUM
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $3,520
40
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
13.0%
Delay p50
5h
Risk Drivers
2
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+20 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If the President of the DRC is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 4.579658645201086h
p90 11.231367794695043h
p99 23.33765091695569h
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