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polymarketMEDIUM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $1705836.120239
41
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
18.3%
Delay p50
9h
Risk Drivers
2
Platform
polymarket
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Subjective Outcome Language+19 pts
Data Revision Risk+2 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from polymarket that our engine evaluates for risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 9.29476023277768h
p90 1d
p99 3d
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