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kalshiMEDIUM
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Scored February 19, 2026 · Volume: $8,418
36
Risk Score
out of 100
P(Dispute)
11.8%
Delay p50
4h
Risk Drivers
2
Platform
kalshi
Risk Drivers
Factors contributing to this market's resolution risk score.
Ambiguous Definitions+17 pts
Subjective Outcome Language+5 pts
Resolution Rules
The full resolution criteria text from kalshi that our engine evaluates for risk.
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Naftali Bennett, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement Delay Distribution
Estimated time to resolution based on lognormal delay modeling.
p50 4.320612837561595h
p90 10.596071811593406h
p99 22.01756985883442h
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